Summary
Amazon beat expectations, but slower AWS growth and cautious guidance left investors uncertain.
Market Recap
Market Movers
- π US NON-FARM PAYROLL: May 2, 2025
π Deep Dive π
Amazon Earnings Recap β Q1 2025
Amazon AMZN delivered a mixed earnings report that showed solid execution but raised questions about future growth β particularly around AWS and guidance.
π Key Highlights:
- Earnings: Beat on EPS, but missed on Third-Party Seller Services, a key segment for retail.
- Sales Growth: Net sales up +8.6% YoY, led by Online Stores and Subscription Services.
- AWS: Revenue up +17% YoY to $29.27B β slightly below expectations. This marks the first noticeable slowdown in two years.
- Operating Income: Jumped +20% YoY to $18.41B β beat expectations.
- Fulfillment Costs: Up +10% YoY to $24.59B β slightly above estimates.
Margins:
- Consolidated operating margin hit a record high for the 4th straight quarter.
- North America and international margins improved meaningfully.
Stock Reaction:
Despite strong margins, soft revenue and profit guidance led to an after-hours sell-off -2%.
Final Take:
π AMZN Rating: OVERWEIGHT π― Short-Term Price Target: $200
Amazon remains a leader with strong profitability, but technically, we may be setting up a large Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart β a bearish signal to watch closely.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance at $200 could trigger selling pressure.
- A breakout above $208 would invalidate the bearish setup and open the door to a higher move and use $200 as support
- Based on forward growth, fair value is $210 β which aligns with historical multiples and growth projections.
"In summary, the fundamentals are strong, but guidance and technicals suggest short-term caution. Long-term, the setup remains bullish if key levels break."
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