Summary
Apple AAPL delivered a mixed earnings report that beat expectations on revenue but raised fresh concerns about future growth, especially in China.
Market Recap
Market Movers
- π US NON-FARM PAYROLL REPORT: May 2, 2025
π Deep Dive π
Apple Earnings Recap β Q2 2025
Apple AAPL delivered a mixed earnings report that beat expectations on revenue but raised fresh concerns about future growth, especially in China.
π Key Highlights:
- Total Revenue: Up +5.1% YoY, beating analyst expectations.
- Product Revenue:
- iPhone: +1.9%
- Mac: +6.7%
- iPad: +15%
- Wearables: -4.9% (the weak spot)
- Services Revenue: +12% YoY β a record high, but missed estimates and posted the slowest growth in 2 years.
- China Sales: Down -2.3%, marking seven straight quarters of decline β a major red flag for future international growth.
- Gross Margin: +6.1% YoY
- Operating Expenses: Up +6.3%
- Cash & Equivalents: Down -14% YoY
π Market Reaction So Far:
Despite solid overall numbers, the stock fell 3% after hours, weighed down by:
- Weakness in China
- Concerns over tariffs and regulatory risks
- Slower guidance going forward
π° Shareholder Moves:
- $100 billion stock buyback authorized
- Quarterly dividend increased 4% to $0.26/share
Final Take and GAR Capital's Rating of Apple:
π AAPL Rating: HOLD
π― Short-Term Price Target: $180
- This level reflects fair value, aligning with the 200-week moving average.
"At 33x earnings, Apple is too expensive in a high-rate environment. Without strong growth to justify a premium multiple, I believe the stock should trade closer to a 25x forward earnings valuation β especially while interest rates remain elevated. We need price to adjust, not expectations to stretch. Happy Trading!"
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