Futures Weekly Recap: Choppy Markets, Gold Pullback, and War Headlines Pressure Markets

Carlos Garcia | Jun 15, 2025 |

Futures Weekly Recap: Choppy Markets, Gold Pullback, and War Headlines Pressure Markets

Summary

Middle East tensions and a lack of follow-through led to a net –$1,000 week in futures. ES trades showed promise, but Gold shorts got clipped. Risk stayed tight — no overtrading, no revenge setups.

Market Recap

  • UNITED STATES OIL ETF ( USO ) : +6.89%
  • DELTA AIRLINES ( DAL ): -3.76%

Market Movers

  • 📈 GEO-POLITICS IRAN/ISRAEL WAR: Jun 15, 2025

📚 Deep Dive 📚

🗓️ Futures Weekly Recap – June 9–14, 2025

🟡 Tough Tape, Tight Risk

It was a choppy and challenging week across the board for futures trading. Middle East headlines dominated the narrative, and momentum never really found its legs. We managed risk tightly throughout, but never got that one clean trend or follow-through we look for to scale in.

Despite a few solid entries and one nice TP2 hit on ES, the tape just didn’t want to cooperate — especially into the Thursday/Friday geopolitical-driven chop. We stepped back Friday rather than forcing anything that wasn’t there.

📈 Trade Log (5 MES / MGC Contracts)

🟥 Gold Short @ 3315

  • 📅 June 8 @ 9:59 PM → Stopped Out –15 pts / –$750

⚪️ ES Long @ 6020

  • 📅 June 9 @ 12:46 PM → Breakeven $0

✅ ES Long @ 6025

  • 📅 June 9 @ 9:16 PM → TP1 Hit +10 pts / +$250

🟥 Gold Short @ 3325

  • 📅 June 9 @ 9:48 PM → Stopped Out –5 pts / –$250

🟥 ES Long @ 6040

  • 📅 June 10 @ 1:12 PM → Stopped Out –15 pts / –$375

🟥 ES Long @ 6060

  • 📅 June 11 @ 10:23 AM → Stopped Out –15 pts / –$375

✅ ES Long @ 6030

  • 📅 June 12 @ 9:55 AM → TP2 Hit +20 pts / +$500

🟥 ES Long @ 6030

  • 📅 June 14 (final trade) → Stopped Out –15 pts / –$375

📊 Weekly Totals:

S&P 500 (MES): +0 pts net → $0

Gold (MGC):

–20 pts net → –$1,000

🔻 Total Weekly Net: –$1,000

🧠 Trader Reflection

Not our week — and that’s okay. We stayed disciplined, managed our position sizing, and didn’t overreact to the noise. Thursday’s ES long gave us a quick win into TP2, but the broader war-driven chop into the weekend made it hard to keep traction.

Our final trade at 6030 got clipped, and with two signals later in the day not triggering, we decided not to force anything further. Sometimes the best move is no trade at all.

We’ll reset, refocus, and come back next week with full readiness — charts updated, risk in check, and momentum setups in mind.

Let’s get after it. - Carlos G CEO GAR Capital Futures Desk

Best Regards,

Carlos Garcia