Gold short setups dominated this week’s playbook. Our trades nailed multiple legs of the move, locking in key gains — including a +40 point long, a +20 point short, and two more clean TP hits. Discipline and pattern recognition drove the win rate.

GAR Capital Weekly Futures Recap: Solid Gains With Gold

Week Ending May 9, 2025

“Disciplined Trading in a Whipsaw Market”

This week tested every futures trader’s patience and precision — and our GAR Capital team delivered with focus, risk control, and solid execution. While the S&P 500 gave us limited opportunity based on our strategy, our consistent edge in Gold futures (MGC) once again showed why this market remains our bread and butter.

S&P 500 (MES): Controlled Exposure in Choppy Conditions

We kept our exposure light on the S&P 500 this week, taking a single trade on the short side:

• ❌Short @ 5665, stopped out at –5 points (–$125 on 5 MES)

With price action trapped in a tight range early in the week and multiple false breakouts, we didn’t force trades. That single, small loss was the cost of doing business — and it kept us in position to strike when better momentum returns.

Gold (MGC): Precision Short Bias Execution

This was the week of Gold short trades, and the setup was clear: a series of lower highs paired with rising support meant one thing — a breakdown was coming. Our signals captured multiple legs of that move:

• ✅Long @ 3350 → TP4 hit: +40 points
• ❌Long @ 3405 → stopped: –15 points
• ✅Long @ 3410 → locked: +5 points
• ❌Short @ 3390 → stopped: –15 points
• ✅ Short @ 3380 → TP1 hit: +10 points
• ✅Short @ 3325 → TP2 hit: +20 points
• ✅Short @ 3335 → TP1 hit: +10 points

That’s +55 net gold points, equaling +$2,750 in locked gains using 5 micro contracts per signal.

Total Numbers:

• 📊 Total Trades This Week: 8
• ✅❌ Win/Loss: 6 wins / 2 losses
• 💰 Total Locked Profit: +$2,625 (using 5 micro contracts per trade)
• 🎯 Win Rate: 75%
• 🏦 Markets Traded: S&P 500 & Gold

What We Did Well:

• ✅Leaned into the gold short bias with conviction
• ✅Managed risk tightly on both S&P and Gold trades
• ✅Avoided overtrading during low-conviction setups
• ✅Emphasized sliding stops and scaling out to lock in profits

Looking Ahead:

Next week, we’re watching for a potential continuation on gold after this pullback. For the S&P 500, a breakout above recent highs or a sustained break of key support zones will open the door for fresh signals. Until then, our job remains the same: protect capital, wait for the setup, and strike with confidence.

"Enjoy your weekend — and shoutout to all the students and clients who stayed sharp and followed the plan. Let’s keep it going." - Carlos G."

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